Gen
Patent-Pending Technology

Predict What Sells
Before You Manufacture It

SMA builds AI mirrors of your real customers from thousands of social creators — then asks them what they'd buy. Peer-reviewed science, proven across dozens of studies against real post-launch sales.

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The Problem

Traditional methods can't predict novel products

Consumer brands face limited historical signal, high feature dimensionality, and shifting preferences. Buyer heuristics and small focus groups struggle to generalize — resulting in inventory misallocation and preventable markdown costs.

Traditional Methods
Small focus groups (n=20-50)
Buyer heuristics and gut feel
Time-series on historical SKUs only
Cannot predict novel products
Social Mirror Audiences
Thousands of AI consumer mirrors
Patent-pending accuracy methodology
Predicts novel products before launch
20-30% more accurate than traditional
Patent-Pending

Three breakthrough innovations

01

Influencer-to-Consumer Proxy

SMA creates psychological mirrors of influencers to predict their audiences' behaviors. The influencer becomes a proxy for the consumer segment.

02

Multimodal Analysis

100+ data points per influencer across visual, audio, textual, and behavioral dimensions. From facial expressions to posting behavior.

03

Predictive Ensemble

Each mirror runs through a proprietary, patent-pending validation layer so only predictors that hold up against real-world signal make it into the panel. Data science meets human psychology.

How It Works

Seven-step pipeline

From data ingestion to predictive inference — each step builds on peer-reviewed methodology.

Data Ingestion

Thousands of influencers across TikTok, Instagram, YouTube, and Reddit.

Multimodal Extraction

100+ data points per influencer across visual, audio, textual, and behavioral dimensions.

Fusion Encoding

Multimodal signal is fused into comprehensive psychological profiles for every creator.

Mirror Construction

AI personas that authentically represent real consumer segments.

Calibration

A patent-pending validation layer tunes each mirror against real-world signal before it joins the panel.

Predictive Inference

Probabilistic rankings with confidence intervals across every option in the study.

Continuous Evolution

Proprietary mechanisms incorporate feedback and expand accuracy over time.

Scientific Foundation

Built on peer-reviewed research

Personality Prediction

85-92% accuracy predicting psychological traits from digital content using transformer-based models.

Journal of Big Data, 2021

Synthetic Personas

AI-generated personas match human survey responses with 85% accuracy and 98% behavioral correlation.

Stanford · Bain & Company, 2024

Influencer Predictive Power

Strong correlations between influencer preferences and audience purchasing patterns.

Journal of Academy of Marketing Science, 2024
What Sets GEN SMA Apart

Why our predictions land where others miss

Synthetic-audience platforms are a crowded space. Three things separate what we do from the rest of the field.

01

Patent-pending accuracy methodology

Our synthetic audiences are built on a proprietary, patent-pending approach that keeps responses grounded in real-world signal — not just plausible-sounding LLM output.

Patent pending
02

100+ signals per video

We extract over 100 distinct data points from every video a creator posts — visual, linguistic, behavioral, audience reaction. Competitors typically work from a handful of profile fields. More signal in means tighter personas out.

100+ data points / video
03

Prompts built from category expertise

The question matters as much as the panel. Our elicitation prompts are designed with category-specific marketing and research expertise so synthetic respondents are asked the way real customers think — not the way an LLM defaults to answering.

Built with industry experts
Use Cases

What you can answer with SMA

Every engagement is scoped to a specific decision — across product development and marketing. Each runs against the full panel and lands as a structured report in 3–7 days.

Sample report: a shade range ranked by predicted demand
Product

Range & offering strategy

Which variants pull their weight — SKUs, tiers, or offerings. Two-phase: open-ended demand mining, then forced-choice head-to-head. Output: ranked preference share + drop/keep guidance.

Ranked preference share
Sample report: a new shade lineup, side by side
Product

New lineup, side by side

See the proposed range the way a customer would — every option in one view, ranked, before a single unit is produced.

The range, pre-production
Sample report: a 2-in-1 dual-tone product evaluated as a whole
Product

Format & line-extension validation

Test a novel format — 2-in-1, bundle, multi-use — evaluated as a whole product, not just a single shade. Proof the method handles new formats.

Whole-product evaluation
Sample report: inventory allocation by predicted demand share
Product

Inventory sizing

Turn predicted demand share into a buy: order more of the winners, less of the rest. The production-risk decision, quantified before you commit.

Order more / order less
Sample report: a pre-launch BASES-style concept scorecard
Product

Pre-launch concept forecast

BASES-style scorecard for any new offering: purchase intent, uniqueness, believability, need-fit, value, NPS — with category-comparable benchmarks.

Category-comparable benchmarks
Sample report: ranked product opportunities from open-ended demand mining
Product

Whitespace & unmet demand

Mine what customers want that you don't make yet — open-ended demand surfaced and ranked into a product-opportunity pipeline.

Unaided demand, ranked
Sample report: purchase intent across three price tiers
Marketing

Price & willingness-to-pay

Find the price wall before launch. Test tiers in one study; returns elasticity by segment, the optimal point, and where intent collapses.

Find the price cliff
Sample report: the winning size and price verdict
Marketing

The size & price verdict

One decisive read — the winning size at the right price, and exactly where the wrong price kills intent.

The pricing call, settled
Sample report: head-to-head win rates against competitor tiers
Marketing

Competitive positioning

Head-to-head against each competitor tier — where you win, where you lose, and what that means for claims and price.

Win rate vs the field
Sample report: stated channel preference across the panel
Marketing

Audience & channel

Where the launch should lead — the channels and audiences the panel would actually buy through, so day-one distribution matches real demand.

Where demand concentrates
Sample report: real customer voices behind the numbers
Marketing

Claims & customer language

Test claims, hooks, and positioning — and pull the real customer language behind the numbers to sharpen copy. Iterate in minutes.

Real voices, real words
Sample report: demand ranking validated against real sales
Marketing

Validated demand ranking

Every shade tiered top-to-bottom, the panel's prediction lined up against real unit sales — the proof the ranking holds.

Predicted vs actual
Case Study

One brand. Dozens of studies. Predictions that matched real sales.

A leading DTC beauty brand has run SMA across its catalog for months — shade ranges, new concepts, pricing, and positioning. Study after study, the panel's predicted rankings have matched real post-launch sales. The example below: a new lip-liner line where SMA called the exact post-launch order before a single unit was manufactured.

0
Creators Analyzed
0
Validated Panel
100+
Data Points / Creator
Dozens
Studies Validated vs Real Sales
SMA Prediction vs Real-World Outcome
Predicted share of preference compared to actual post-launch performance
50.6%
54%
Soft Pink
#1
11.7%
24%
Cool Nude
#2
37.7%
22%
Blush Berry
#3
SMA Predicted
Actual Outcome
Head-to-Head Pairwise Results
80.3%
Soft Pink vs Cool Nude
Soft Pink wins
58.2%
Soft Pink vs Blush Berry
Soft Pink wins
58.2%
Cool Nude vs Blush Berry
Cool Nude wins
All Predictions Confirmed

SMA predicted Soft Pink #1 > Cool Nude #2 > Blush Berry #3. Actual post-launch sales confirmed this exact ranking. Traditional top-pick analysis would have gotten #2 and #3 wrong.

Estimated Business Impact

What correct predictions mean for a $29M product line

$2.1M
Revenue Protected
Enough supply of top seller to meet demand. No stockouts on Soft Pink.
$870K
Markdown Costs Avoided
Reduced overproduction of #3 shade. No excess inventory to liquidate.
4 weeks
Faster to Market
Skip months of focus groups and test markets. Predict before you produce.
Pilot Structure

Answers in one week.

Scope on Monday, calibrate Tuesday, run the panel mid-week, decision-ready report in your inbox before Friday.

Day 1
Scope & Calibrate
  • 30-min kickoff on the decision you need answered
  • Reference signals reviewed to anchor the engagement
  • Panel filtered to your category and customer profile
  • Elicitation prompt drafted with category-expert framing
Days 2-4
Run & Analyze
  • Full panel runs in parallel (~7 minutes wall-clock)
  • Ranked preference share or concept scorecard built
  • Demographic cross-tabs and sample voices extracted
  • Anti-bleed validation pass on every output
Day 5
Decision-Ready Report
  • Hosted HTML report with the headline finding
  • Full ranking, demographic crosstabs, customer voices
  • Drop / keep / expand recommendation
  • Same-day re-runs on tweaked inputs at marginal cost

Stop guessing. Start predicting.

Join the brands using patent-pending AI to predict what their customers will buy — before going to market.

Talk to us →